Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Ukraine.
Ivan Franko National University of Lviv, Ukraine.
The article aims to develop an innovative methodology for strategic financing planning in the context of macroeconomic instability and multilevel transformation. The research methodology is based on a three-level model: paradigmatic, structural-criterion and operational-strategic. It uses the following methods: mathematical, system analysis, scenario forecasting, factor modeling, and content analysis. The nonlinear dynamics of financial adaptation, which can identify critical points of systemic transition, are applied within the paradigmatic level. The modeling has shown that in the case of a complex macrodisturbance, the probability of the system's transition to the degradation phase is 61%. The structural-criterion model is based on constructing a multifactor resource matrix with an integrated system for evaluating funding sources, where grants and donor programmes demonstrated the highest efficiency, Ψ = 0.91. The operational and strategic level offers a functional model of micro-macro integration in financial mobilization, where the macro level demonstrated the highest contribution to reconstruction efficiency. The empirical foundation of the study comprises data from over 40 energy infrastructure recovery projects implemented in Ukraine between 2022 and 2024. The proposed methodology accounts for time lags, spatial distribution of resources, and structural priorities across government levels. The results provide a basis for designing a flexible, scalable, and adaptive financial policy for Ukraine's postwar recovery. The study results confirm the expediency of moving from fragmented financial management to a strategic architecture of the financial space, considering the recovery phases. The proposed three-level model allowed for identifying key scenarios of loss of financial stability and determining the most effective sources of resource mobilization for reconstruction. The practical significa nce of the work lies in the possibility of using the proposed methodology as a conceptual basis for forming a flexible, sustainable and scalable financial policy of Ukraine in the postwar period.

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