• Abstract

    Employee performance prediction is amongst the most vital tasks that streamline human resource enhancement by facilitating organizations to base evidence-driven decisions about talent management, retention practices, and overall organizational performance. Empirical forecasting schemes allow organizations to detect best-performing employees, reduce the threats of employee departures, and streamline productivity. This paper suggests a novel evidence-based employee performance prediction model using the Red-tailed Hawk Mutated Intelligent Decision Tree (RTH-IDT).The data set, which is downloaded from Kaggle, has employee performance data and demographic data. Preprocessing data involves Z-score normalization to feature standardization that provides consistency and minimizes bias. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) employs dimensionality reduction to improve computational efficacy and predictive effectiveness. The suggested RTH-IDT hybrid model improves prediction quality through the incorporation of the Red-tailed Hawk Optimization algorithm with an Intelligent Decision Tree, maximizing classification accuracy. Operating on Python, the model performs higher with accuracy at 98.66%, precision at 99.10%, and recall at 99.82%. The findings are representative of the suitability of the model in accurately forecasting 310 employee performance records and identifying attrition risks. Compared to conventional forecasting methods, the RTH-IDT process yields greater reliability and accuracy and is a valuable tool for workforce planning. By providing actionable employee performance insight, it allows organizations to make more informed data-driven decisions, so they can get the most from workforce planning, improve training and development programs, and streamline general human resource practice. Coupling advanced machine learning algorithms, the prediction model is made stronger and more reactive, allowing businesses to better realize staff and organizational potential.

  • References

    1. Adeniyi, J., Adeniyi, A. E., Yetunde, J. O., Egbedokun, G. O., Ajagbe, K. D., Obuzor, P. C., & Ajagbe, S. A. (2022). Comparative analysis of machine learning techniques for the prediction of employee performance. Paradigmplus, 3(3), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.55969/paradigmplus.v3n3a1
    2. Ahmed, A. K., Younus, S. Q., Ahmed, S. R., Algburi, S., & Fadhel, M. A. (2023, November). A machine learning approach to employee performance prediction within administrative information systems. In 2023 7th International Symposium on Innovative Approaches in Smart Technologies (ISAS) (pp. 1–7). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISAS60782.2023.10391817
    3. Asuquo, D. E., Umoh, U. A., Osang, F. B., & Okokon, E. W. (2020). Performance evaluation of C4.5, random forest and naïve Bayes classifiers in employee performance and promotion prediction. African Journal of Management Information System, 2(4), 41–55.
    4. Atiku, S. O., & Obagbuwa, I. C. (2021). Machine learning classification techniques for detecting the impact of human resources outcomes on commercial banks performance. Applied Computational Intelligence and Soft Computing, 2021(1), 7747907. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/7747907
    5. Choi, Y., & Choi, J. W. (2021). A study of job involvement prediction using machine learning technique. International Journal of Organizational Analysis, 29(3), 788–800. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOA-05-2020-2222
    6. Fadhil, Z. M. (2021). Hybrid of K-means clustering and naive Bayes classifier for predicting performance of an employee. Periodicals of Engineering and Natural Sciences, 9(2), 799–807. https://doi.org/10.21533/PEN.V9I2.1898
    7. Jafor, M. A., Wadud, M. A. H., Nur, K., & Rahman, M. M. (2023). Employee promotion prediction using improved AdaBoost machine learning approach. AIUB Journal of Science and Engineering (AJSE), 22(3), 258–266. http://dx.doi.org/10.53799/ajse.v22i3.781
    8. Lelavijit, K., & Kiattisin, S. (2020). An integrated conceptual model of 360-degree performance appraisal and candidate forecasting using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. Journal of Mobile Multimedia, 16(4), 449–476. https://doi.org/10.13052/jmm1550-4646.1642
    9. Nayem, Z., & Uddin, M. A. (2024). Unbiased employee performance evaluation using machine learning. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 10(1), 100243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joitmc.2024.100243
    10. Patel, K., Sheth, K., Mehta, D., Tanwar, S., Florea, B. C., Taralunga, D. D., ... & Sharma, R. (2022). RanKer: An AI-based employee-performance classification scheme to rank and identify low performers. Mathematics, 10(19), 3714. https://doi.org/10.3390/math10193714
    11. Rahaman, M. A., & Bari, M. H. (2024). Predictive analytics for strategic workforce planning: A cross-industry perspective from energy and telecommunications. International Journal of Business Diplomacy and Economy, 3(2), 14–25.
    12. Salina, J. H. (2023). Humanizing the culture of technology teams: Strategies for creating healthier and more productive work environments. Journal of Software Engineering and Applications, 16(12), 641–671. https://doi.org/10.4236/jsea.2023.1612033
    13. Sujatha, P., & Dhivya, R. S. (2021). Qualitative assessment of machine learning classifiers for employee performance prediction. In Intelligent Computing and Innovation on Data Science: Proceedings of ICTIDS 2021 (pp. 339–349). Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-3153-5_37
    14. Tanasescu, L. G., Vines, A., Bologa, A. R., & Vîrgolici, O. (2024). Data analytics for optimizing and predicting employee performance. Applied Sciences, 14(8), 3254. https://doi.org/10.3390/app14083254
    15. Uppal, A., Awasthi, Y., & Srivastava, A. (2024). Machine learning-based approaches for enhancing human resource management using automated employee performance prediction systems. International Journal of Organizational Analysis, 32(7), 1745–1762. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOA-07-2024-4643
    16. Yanamala, K. K. R. (2022). Integrating machine learning and human feedback for employee performance evaluation. Journal of Advanced Computing Systems, 2(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.69987/JACS.2022.20101

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Copyright (c) 2025 The Authors

How to cite

Hota, H. N., Sunil, J., Biswal, S. K., Khambra, V., Raj, N., & Gupta, S. (2025). Optimizing employee performance forecasting: A data-driven approach to workforce development. Multidisciplinary Science Journal, 7, 2025ss0208. https://doi.org/10.31893/multiscience.2025ss0208
  • Article viewed - 264
  • PDF downloaded - 238